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What is the Bitcoin halving?

In short: The halving cuts in half the number of new bitcoins created per block, about every four years. The last ones took place in 2012, 2016, 2020 and 2024. It slows the creation of new bitcoins, but its effect on price is not guaranteed.

Why it exists

It is written into bitcoin's code to cap the total at 21 million. Miners receive fewer and fewer new bitcoins.

Effect on price

After each past halving, the price ended up rising in the following months. But four episodes are very few for a rule: the economic context also mattered a lot.

Beware of certainty

If the effect were certain and known in advance, it would already be in the price. Lessons from a few cycles may stop working.

Today's numbers

AssetPriceExpected move over a monthRisk of a drop of more than 10%
Bitcoin$75,684.89±8%10%

Prices as of 2026-11-08, updated automatically. Volatility and drop risk are what the radar's AIs forecast best; they are not buy or sell recommendations.

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