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XRP (XRP-USD): forecast and analysis

Updated automatically · prices as of 2026-11-08

$1.15last price
-11.8%over 1 month
26 / 100technical score (bearish)
5 in 10chance of being higher in 20 sessions
1,38 $1,15 $0,9560 $↓ leaning down06/07/202608/11/2026

price over the last 6 monthsmost likely in 1 monthdark band: the price ends there 1 time in 2light band: 8 times in 10

The AI's call low confidence
Up or down?Slightly down

50 chances in 100 of ending lower in a month, according to the AI. Low confidence: in cases like this the AI is often wrong. Look mainly at the expected volatility. Real reliability: on years it never saw, the AI got the direction right 56 times in 100 (always giving the same answer: 55).

How much can it move?±13% in a month8 times out of 10, between $0.9560 and $1.38

Summary

For the coming month, the radar sees XRP slightly lower (low confidence: the AIs are often wrong in such cases). Central scenario: about $1.15. In 8 cases out of 10, the price should stay between $0.9560 and $1.38. Probability of beating Bitcoin over the same period: 37%.

Expected movement next month: about ±13%, up or down.

XRP: volatility over one year and forecast for next month
Forecast 47%Now 46%Its normal 36%

Volatility over the last 20 sessionsAI forecast (next month)Its one-year normal

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Key indicators

RSI (14)31
ADX (trend strength)20
Expected move over the next 5 sessions±6.1%
3-month performance-19.1%
Annualised volatility+45%
Risk levelMedium

Levels to watch

Resistance (1-year high)$1.57
50-day moving average$1.37
200-day moving average$1.27
Support (20-day low)$1.15
Indicative stop-loss$1.05

Reliability

Measured accuracy of the model on periods it never saw: 56% correct directions (naive baseline 55%). A forecast is a probability, never a promise.

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