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Vallourec (VK.PA): forecast and analysis

Updated automatically · prices as of 2026-11-08

€18.91last price
+7.9%over 1 month
43 / 100technical score (neutral)
5 in 10chance of being higher in 20 sessions
23,39 €18,99 €15,72 €↑ leaning up15/05/202606/11/2026

price over the last 6 monthsmost likely in 1 monthdark band: the price ends there 1 time in 2light band: 8 times in 10

The AI's call low confidence
Up or down?Slightly up

53 chances in 100 of ending higher in a month, according to the AI. Low confidence: in cases like this the AI is often wrong. Look mainly at the expected volatility. Real reliability: on years it never saw, the AI got the direction right 56 times in 100 (always giving the same answer: 55).

How much can it move?±11% in a month8 times out of 10, between €15.72 and €23.39

Summary

For the coming month, the radar sees Vallourec slightly higher (low confidence: the AIs are often wrong in such cases). Central scenario: about €18.99. In 8 cases out of 10, the price should stay between €15.72 and €23.39. Probability of beating the CAC 40 over the same period: 49%.

Expected movement next month: about ±11%, up or down.

Vallourec: volatility over one year and forecast for next month
Forecast 38%Now 34%Its normal 31%

Volatility over the last 20 sessionsAI forecast (next month)Its one-year normal

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Key indicators

RSI (14)54
ADX (trend strength)10
Expected move over the next 5 sessions±3.5%
3-month performance+3.6%
Annualised volatility+34%
Risk levelMedium

Levels to watch

Resistance (1-year high)€27.34
50-day moving average€18.62
200-day moving average€20.61
Support (20-day low)€17.73
Indicative stop-loss€17.69

Reliability

Measured accuracy of the model on periods it never saw: 56% correct directions (naive baseline 55%). A forecast is a probability, never a promise.

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