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World ex-US (Vanguard ETF) (VEU): forecast and analysis

Updated automatically · prices as of 2026-11-08

$79.25last price
-3.6%over 1 month
40 / 100technical score (neutral)
6 in 10chance of being higher in 20 sessions
85,44 $80,82 $74,77 $↑ leaning up11/05/202606/11/2026

price over the last 6 monthsmost likely in 1 monthdark band: the price ends there 1 time in 2light band: 8 times in 10

The AI's call low confidence
Up or down?Slightly up

62 chances in 100 of ending higher in a month, according to the AI. Low confidence: in cases like this the AI is often wrong. Look mainly at the expected volatility. Real reliability: on years it never saw, the AI got the direction right 56 times in 100 (always giving the same answer: 55).

How much can it move?±5% in a month8 times out of 10, between $74.77 and $85.44

Summary

For the coming month, the radar sees World ex-US (Vanguard ETF) slightly higher (low confidence: the AIs are often wrong in such cases). Central scenario: about $80.82. In 8 cases out of 10, the price should stay between $74.77 and $85.44. Probability of beating the S&P 500 over the same period: 51%.

Expected movement next month: about ±5%, up or down.

Monde hors États-Unis (ETF Vanguard): volatility over one year and forecast for next month
Forecast 17%Now 18%Its normal 15%

Volatility over the last 20 sessionsAI forecast (next month)Its one-year normal

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Key indicators

RSI (14)37
ADX (trend strength)24
Expected move over the next 5 sessions±2.3%
3-month performance-6.4%
Annualised volatility+18%
Risk levelLow

Levels to watch

Resistance (1-year high)$86.21
50-day moving average$83.02
200-day moving average$81.20
Support (20-day low)$78.84
Indicative stop-loss$77.11

Reliability

Measured accuracy of the model on periods it never saw: 56% correct directions (naive baseline 55%). A forecast is a probability, never a promise.

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