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TransMedics Group, Inc. (TMDX): forecast and analysis

Updated automatically · prices as of 2026-11-08

$88.24last price
+11.7%over 1 month
37 / 100technical score (bearish)
5 in 10chance of being higher in 20 sessions
107,49 $89,69 $73,43 $↑ leaning up11/05/202606/11/2026

price over the last 6 monthsmost likely in 1 monthdark band: the price ends there 1 time in 2light band: 8 times in 10

The AI's call low confidence
Up or down?Slightly up

52 chances in 100 of ending higher in a month, according to the AI. Low confidence: in cases like this the AI is often wrong. Look mainly at the expected volatility. Real reliability: on years it never saw, the AI got the direction right 56 times in 100 (always giving the same answer: 55).

How much can it move?±17% in a month8 times out of 10, between $73.43 and $107.49

Summary

For the coming month, the radar sees TransMedics Group, Inc. slightly lower (low confidence: the AIs are often wrong in such cases). Central scenario: about $89.69. In 8 cases out of 10, the price should stay between $73.43 and $107.49. Probability of beating the S&P 500 over the same period: 48%.

Expected movement next month: about ±17%, up or down.

Very confident call Next month, TransMedics Group, Inc. should be clearly calmer than in recent weeks (about 48% less). When the AI is this clear-cut, it was right 85 times out of 100 on years it had never seen.

TransMedics Group, Inc.: volatility over one year and forecast for next month
Forecast 60%Now 105%Its normal 50%

Volatility over the last 20 sessionsAI forecast (next month)Its one-year normal

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Key indicators

RSI (14)67
ADX (trend strength)33
Expected move over the next 5 sessions±9.1%
3-month performance-0.2%
Annualised volatility+115%
Risk levelVery high

Levels to watch

Resistance (1-year high)$150.42
50-day moving average$79.61
200-day moving average$92.80
Support (20-day low)$64.64
Indicative stop-loss$78.12

Reliability

Measured accuracy of the model on periods it never saw: 56% correct directions (naive baseline 55%). A forecast is a probability, never a promise.

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