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STMicroelectronics (STMPA.PA): forecast and analysis

Updated automatically · prices as of 2026-11-08

€37.63last price
-21.6%over 1 month
8 / 100technical score (strongly bearish)
5 in 10chance of being higher in 20 sessions
46,22 €38,32 €30,32 €↑ leaning up15/05/202606/11/2026

price over the last 6 monthsmost likely in 1 monthdark band: the price ends there 1 time in 2light band: 8 times in 10

The AI's call low confidence
Up or down?Slightly up

53 chances in 100 of ending higher in a month, according to the AI. Low confidence: in cases like this the AI is often wrong. Look mainly at the expected volatility. Real reliability: on years it never saw, the AI got the direction right 56 times in 100 (always giving the same answer: 55).

How much can it move?±19% in a month8 times out of 10, between €30.32 and €46.22

Summary

For the coming month, the radar sees STMicroelectronics slightly higher (low confidence: the AIs are often wrong in such cases). Central scenario: about €38.32. In 8 cases out of 10, the price should stay between €30.32 and €46.22. Probability of beating the CAC 40 over the same period: 53%.

Expected movement next month: about ±19%, up or down.

STMicroelectronics: volatility over one year and forecast for next month
Forecast 67%Now 60%Its normal 48%

Volatility over the last 20 sessionsAI forecast (next month)Its one-year normal

Open the interactive chart and simulator

Key indicators

RSI (14)36
ADX (trend strength)24
Expected move over the next 5 sessions±6.3%
3-month performance-21.0%
Annualised volatility+59%
Risk levelHigh

Levels to watch

Resistance (1-year high)€69.25
50-day moving average€43.98
200-day moving average€44.19
Support (20-day low)€35.81
Indicative stop-loss€33.06

Reliability

Measured accuracy of the model on periods it never saw: 56% correct directions (naive baseline 55%). A forecast is a probability, never a promise.

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