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Spotify (SPOT): forecast and analysis

Updated automatically · prices as of 2026-11-08

$603.01last price
+14.5%over 1 month
73 / 100technical score (bullish)
6 in 10chance of being higher in 20 sessions
682,88 $607,03 $522,17 $↑ leaning up11/05/202606/11/2026

price over the last 6 monthsmost likely in 1 monthdark band: the price ends there 1 time in 2light band: 8 times in 10

The AI's call low confidence
Up or down?Slightly up

52 chances in 100 of ending higher in a month, according to the AI. Low confidence: in cases like this the AI is often wrong. Look mainly at the expected volatility. Real reliability: on years it never saw, the AI got the direction right 56 times in 100 (always giving the same answer: 55).

How much can it move?±11% in a month8 times out of 10, between $522.17 and $682.88

Summary

For the coming month, the radar sees Spotify slightly higher (low confidence: the AIs are often wrong in such cases). Central scenario: about $607.03. In 8 cases out of 10, the price should stay between $522.17 and $682.88. Probability of beating world stocks outside the US over the same period: 47%.

Expected movement next month: about ±11%, up or down.

Very confident call Next month, Spotify should be clearly calmer than in recent weeks (about 30% less). When the AI is this clear-cut, it was right 89 times out of 100 on years it had never seen.

Spotify: volatility over one year and forecast for next month
Forecast 39%Now 54%Its normal 41%

Volatility over the last 20 sessionsAI forecast (next month)Its one-year normal

The AI's past calls on this asset

3 calls recorded, being checked (20 sessions). All checked calls

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Key indicators

RSI (14)62
ADX (trend strength)21
Expected move over the next 5 sessions±5.2%
3-month performance+17.8%
Annualised volatility+55%
Risk levelHigh

Levels to watch

Resistance (1-year high)$647.87
50-day moving average$537.34
200-day moving average$499.83
Support (20-day low)$508.01
Indicative stop-loss$557.32

Reliability

Measured accuracy of the model on periods it never saw: 56% correct directions (naive baseline 55%). A forecast is a probability, never a promise.

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