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Royal Bank of Canada (RY): forecast and analysis

Updated automatically · prices as of 2026-11-08

$201.16last price
+6.2%over 1 month
76 / 100technical score (strongly bullish)
6 in 10chance of being higher in 20 sessions
223,02 $203,46 $180,41 $↑ leaning up11/05/202606/11/2026

price over the last 6 monthsmost likely in 1 monthdark band: the price ends there 1 time in 2light band: 8 times in 10

The AI's call low confidence
Up or down?Slightly up

58 chances in 100 of ending higher in a month, according to the AI. Low confidence: in cases like this the AI is often wrong. Look mainly at the expected volatility. Real reliability: on years it never saw, the AI got the direction right 56 times in 100 (always giving the same answer: 55).

How much can it move?±6% in a month8 times out of 10, between $180.42 and $223.02

Summary

For the coming month, the radar sees Royal Bank of Canada slightly higher (low confidence: the AIs are often wrong in such cases). Central scenario: about $203.46. In 8 cases out of 10, the price should stay between $180.42 and $223.02. Probability of beating world stocks outside the US over the same period: 52%.

Expected movement next month: about ±6%, up or down.

Royal Bank of Canada: volatility over one year and forecast for next month
Forecast 20%Now 21%Its normal 16%

Volatility over the last 20 sessionsAI forecast (next month)Its one-year normal

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Key indicators

RSI (14)50
ADX (trend strength)20
Expected move over the next 5 sessions±2.6%
3-month performance-4.0%
Annualised volatility+21%
Risk levelLow

Levels to watch

Resistance (1-year high)$215.22
50-day moving average$200.42
200-day moving average$187.97
Support (20-day low)$190.39
Indicative stop-loss$194.11

Reliability

Measured accuracy of the model on periods it never saw: 56% correct directions (naive baseline 55%). A forecast is a probability, never a promise.

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