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Renault (RNO.PA): forecast and analysis

Updated automatically · prices as of 2026-11-08

€28.90last price
+11.0%over 1 month
61 / 100technical score (bullish)
5 in 10chance of being higher in 20 sessions
33,18 €29,12 €25,35 €↑ leaning up15/05/202606/11/2026

price over the last 6 monthsmost likely in 1 monthdark band: the price ends there 1 time in 2light band: 8 times in 10

The AI's call low confidence
Up or down?Slightly up

53 chances in 100 of ending higher in a month, according to the AI. Low confidence: in cases like this the AI is often wrong. Look mainly at the expected volatility. Real reliability: on years it never saw, the AI got the direction right 56 times in 100 (always giving the same answer: 55).

How much can it move?±10% in a month8 times out of 10, between €25.35 and €33.18

Summary

For the coming month, the radar sees Renault slightly higher (low confidence: the AIs are often wrong in such cases). Central scenario: about €29.12. In 8 cases out of 10, the price should stay between €25.35 and €33.18. Probability of beating the CAC 40 over the same period: 49%.

Expected movement next month: about ±10%, up or down.

Renault: volatility over one year and forecast for next month
Forecast 37%Now 41%Its normal 33%

Volatility over the last 20 sessionsAI forecast (next month)Its one-year normal

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Key indicators

RSI (14)61
ADX (trend strength)18
Expected move over the next 5 sessions±4.5%
3-month performance+1.3%
Annualised volatility+41%
Risk levelMedium

Levels to watch

Resistance (1-year high)€34.76
50-day moving average€27.43
200-day moving average€27.74
Support (20-day low)€25.26
Indicative stop-loss€26.95

Reliability

Measured accuracy of the model on periods it never saw: 56% correct directions (naive baseline 55%). A forecast is a probability, never a promise.

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