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Ferrari (RACE.MI): forecast and analysis

Updated automatically · prices as of 2026-11-08

€373.85last price
+9.1%over 1 month
79 / 100technical score (strongly bullish)
6 in 10chance of being higher in 20 sessions
412,40 €378,02 €336,81 €↑ leaning up15/05/202606/11/2026

price over the last 6 monthsmost likely in 1 monthdark band: the price ends there 1 time in 2light band: 8 times in 10

The AI's call low confidence
Up or down?Slightly up

54 chances in 100 of ending higher in a month, according to the AI. Low confidence: in cases like this the AI is often wrong. Look mainly at the expected volatility. Real reliability: on years it never saw, the AI got the direction right 56 times in 100 (always giving the same answer: 55).

How much can it move?±8% in a month8 times out of 10, between €336.81 and €412.40

Summary

For the coming month, the radar sees Ferrari slightly higher (low confidence: the AIs are often wrong in such cases). Central scenario: about €378.02. In 8 cases out of 10, the price should stay between €336.81 and €412.40. Probability of beating the Euro Stoxx 50 over the same period: 48%.

Expected movement next month: about ±8%, up or down.

Very confident call Next month, Ferrari should be clearly more agitated than in recent weeks (about 33% more). When the AI is this clear-cut, it was right 89 times out of 100 on years it had never seen.

Ferrari: volatility over one year and forecast for next month
Forecast 30%Now 22%Its normal 27%

Volatility over the last 20 sessionsAI forecast (next month)Its one-year normal

The AI's past calls on this asset

3 calls recorded, being checked (20 sessions). All checked calls

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Key indicators

RSI (14)63
ADX (trend strength)20
Expected move over the next 5 sessions±2.9%
3-month performance+5.1%
Annualised volatility+23%
Risk levelLow

Levels to watch

Resistance (1-year high)€382.55
50-day moving average€354.86
200-day moving average€321.47
Support (20-day low)€341.90
Indicative stop-loss€353.42

Reliability

Measured accuracy of the model on periods it never saw: 56% correct directions (naive baseline 55%). A forecast is a probability, never a promise.

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