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Palantir (PLTR): forecast and analysis

Updated automatically · prices as of 2026-11-08

$160.38last price
-19.3%over 1 month
49 / 100technical score (neutral)
6 in 10chance of being higher in 20 sessions
192,01 $162,71 $132,09 $↑ leaning up11/05/202606/11/2026

price over the last 6 monthsmost likely in 1 monthdark band: the price ends there 1 time in 2light band: 8 times in 10

The AI's call low confidence
Up or down?Slightly up

54 chances in 100 of ending higher in a month, according to the AI. Low confidence: in cases like this the AI is often wrong. Look mainly at the expected volatility. Real reliability: on years it never saw, the AI got the direction right 56 times in 100 (always giving the same answer: 55).

How much can it move?±17% in a month8 times out of 10, between $132.09 and $192.01

Summary

For the coming month, the radar sees Palantir slightly higher (low confidence: the AIs are often wrong in such cases). Central scenario: about $162.71. In 8 cases out of 10, the price should stay between $132.09 and $192.01. Probability of beating the S&P 500 over the same period: 47%.

Expected movement next month: about ±17%, up or down.

Palantir: volatility over one year and forecast for next month
Forecast 59%Now 59%Its normal 54%

Volatility over the last 20 sessionsAI forecast (next month)Its one-year normal

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Key indicators

RSI (14)31
ADX (trend strength)27
Expected move over the next 5 sessions±6.0%
3-month performance-8.5%
Annualised volatility+58%
Risk levelHigh

Levels to watch

Resistance (1-year high)$209.05
50-day moving average$185.88
200-day moving average$153.53
Support (20-day low)$152.60
Indicative stop-loss$141.05

Reliability

Measured accuracy of the model on periods it never saw: 56% correct directions (naive baseline 55%). A forecast is a probability, never a promise.

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