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PDD Holdings (Temu) (PDD): forecast and analysis

Updated automatically · prices as of 2026-11-08

$83.03last price
+6.1%over 1 month
34 / 100technical score (bearish)
6 in 10chance of being higher in 20 sessions
94,63 $83,93 $72,25 $↑ leaning up11/05/202606/11/2026

price over the last 6 monthsmost likely in 1 monthdark band: the price ends there 1 time in 2light band: 8 times in 10

The AI's call low confidence
Up or down?Slightly up

54 chances in 100 of ending higher in a month, according to the AI. Low confidence: in cases like this the AI is often wrong. Look mainly at the expected volatility. Real reliability: on years it never saw, the AI got the direction right 56 times in 100 (always giving the same answer: 55).

How much can it move?±10% in a month8 times out of 10, between $72.25 and $94.63

Summary

For the coming month, the radar sees PDD Holdings (Temu) slightly higher (low confidence: the AIs are often wrong in such cases). Central scenario: about $83.93. In 8 cases out of 10, the price should stay between $72.25 and $94.63. Probability of beating world stocks outside the US over the same period: 48%.

Expected movement next month: about ±10%, up or down.

Confident call Next month, PDD Holdings (Temu) should be clearly more agitated than in recent weeks (about 22% more). When the AI is this clear-cut, it was right 79 times out of 100 on years it had never seen.

PDD Holdings (Temu): volatility over one year and forecast for next month
Forecast 34%Now 28%Its normal 32%

Volatility over the last 20 sessionsAI forecast (next month)Its one-year normal

The AI's past calls on this asset

3 calls recorded, being checked (20 sessions). All checked calls

Open the interactive chart and simulator

Key indicators

RSI (14)58
ADX (trend strength)18
Expected move over the next 5 sessions±3.5%
3-month performance-10.7%
Annualised volatility+28%
Risk levelMedium

Levels to watch

Resistance (1-year high)$138.13
50-day moving average$79.82
200-day moving average$90.46
Support (20-day low)$76.68
Indicative stop-loss$76.08

Reliability

Measured accuracy of the model on periods it never saw: 56% correct directions (naive baseline 55%). A forecast is a probability, never a promise.

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