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L'Oréal (OR.PA): forecast and analysis

Updated automatically · prices as of 2026-11-08

€449.80last price
+20.3%over 1 month
79 / 100technical score (strongly bullish)
5 in 10chance of being higher in 20 sessions
487,91 €452,97 €407,59 €↑ leaning up15/05/202606/11/2026

price over the last 6 monthsmost likely in 1 monthdark band: the price ends there 1 time in 2light band: 8 times in 10

The AI's call low confidence
Up or down?Slightly up

54 chances in 100 of ending higher in a month, according to the AI. Low confidence: in cases like this the AI is often wrong. Look mainly at the expected volatility. Real reliability: on years it never saw, the AI got the direction right 56 times in 100 (always giving the same answer: 55).

How much can it move?±7% in a month8 times out of 10, between €407.59 and €487.91

Summary

For the coming month, the radar sees L'Oréal slightly higher (low confidence: the AIs are often wrong in such cases). Central scenario: about €452.97. In 8 cases out of 10, the price should stay between €407.59 and €487.91. Probability of beating the CAC 40 over the same period: 51%.

Expected movement next month: about ±7%, up or down.

Confident call Next month, L'Oréal should be clearly calmer than in recent weeks (about 17% less). When the AI is this clear-cut, it was right 80 times out of 100 on years it had never seen.

L'Oréal: volatility over one year and forecast for next month
Forecast 24%Now 29%Its normal 22%

Volatility over the last 20 sessionsAI forecast (next month)Its one-year normal

The AI's past calls on this asset

3 calls recorded, being checked (20 sessions). All checked calls

Open the interactive chart and simulator

Key indicators

RSI (14)72
ADX (trend strength)37
Expected move over the next 5 sessions±3.1%
3-month performance+17.2%
Annualised volatility+30%
Risk levelMedium

Levels to watch

Resistance (1-year high)€455.60
50-day moving average€396.47
200-day moving average€378.10
Support (20-day low)€381.10
Indicative stop-loss€431.17

Reliability

Measured accuracy of the model on periods it never saw: 56% correct directions (naive baseline 55%). A forecast is a probability, never a promise.

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