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Optimism (OP-USD): forecast and analysis

Updated automatically · prices as of 2026-11-08

$0.1009last price
-19.5%over 1 month
32 / 100technical score (bearish)
5 in 10chance of being higher in 20 sessions
0,1298 $0,09618 $0,07498 $↓ leaning down06/07/202608/11/2026

price over the last 6 monthsmost likely in 1 monthdark band: the price ends there 1 time in 2light band: 8 times in 10

The AI's call low confidence
Up or down?Slightly down

59 chances in 100 of ending lower in a month, according to the AI. Low confidence: in cases like this the AI is often wrong. Look mainly at the expected volatility. Real reliability: on years it never saw, the AI got the direction right 56 times in 100 (always giving the same answer: 55).

How much can it move?±24% in a month8 times out of 10, between $0.07498 and $0.1298

Summary

For the coming month, the radar sees Optimism slightly lower (low confidence: the AIs are often wrong in such cases). Central scenario: about $0.09618. In 8 cases out of 10, the price should stay between $0.07498 and $0.1298. Probability of beating Bitcoin over the same period: 33%.

Expected movement next month: about ±24%, up or down.

Optimism: volatility over one year and forecast for next month
Forecast 84%Now 93%Its normal 72%

Volatility over the last 20 sessionsAI forecast (next month)Its one-year normal

The AI's past calls on this asset

1 call recorded, being checked (20 sessions). All checked calls

Open the interactive chart and simulator

Key indicators

RSI (14)39
ADX (trend strength)18
Expected move over the next 5 sessions±10.7%
3-month performance-8.4%
Annualised volatility+96%
Risk levelVery high

Levels to watch

Resistance (1-year high)$0.1718
50-day moving average$0.1251
200-day moving average$0.1116
Support (20-day low)$0.09380
Indicative stop-loss$0.08126

Reliability

Measured accuracy of the model on periods it never saw: 56% correct directions (naive baseline 55%). A forecast is a probability, never a promise.

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