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Nokia (NOKIA.HE): forecast and analysis

Updated automatically · prices as of 2026-11-08

€6.98last price
-22.9%over 1 month
6 / 100technical score (strongly bearish)
6 in 10chance of being higher in 20 sessions
8,60 €7,08 €5,67 €↑ leaning up13/05/202606/11/2026

price over the last 6 monthsmost likely in 1 monthdark band: the price ends there 1 time in 2light band: 8 times in 10

The AI's call low confidence
Up or down?Slightly up

54 chances in 100 of ending higher in a month, according to the AI. Low confidence: in cases like this the AI is often wrong. Look mainly at the expected volatility. Real reliability: on years it never saw, the AI got the direction right 56 times in 100 (always giving the same answer: 55).

How much can it move?±19% in a month8 times out of 10, between €5.67 and €8.60

Summary

For the coming month, the radar sees Nokia slightly higher (low confidence: the AIs are often wrong in such cases). Central scenario: about €7.08. In 8 cases out of 10, the price should stay between €5.67 and €8.60. Probability of beating the Euro Stoxx 50 over the same period: 52%.

Expected movement next month: about ±19%, up or down.

Nokia: volatility over one year and forecast for next month
Forecast 66%Now 62%Its normal 56%

Volatility over the last 20 sessionsAI forecast (next month)Its one-year normal

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Key indicators

RSI (14)33
ADX (trend strength)24
Expected move over the next 5 sessions±6.4%
3-month performance-14.7%
Annualised volatility+61%
Risk levelHigh

Levels to watch

Resistance (1-year high)€14.55
50-day moving average€8.62
200-day moving average€8.90
Support (20-day low)€6.61
Indicative stop-loss€6.12

Reliability

Measured accuracy of the model on periods it never saw: 56% correct directions (naive baseline 55%). A forecast is a probability, never a promise.

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