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Mastercard (MA): forecast and analysis

Updated automatically · prices as of 2026-11-08

$652.70last price
+13.7%over 1 month
83 / 100technical score (strongly bullish)
6 in 10chance of being higher in 20 sessions
710,95 $658,84 $594,75 $↑ leaning up11/05/202606/11/2026

price over the last 6 monthsmost likely in 1 monthdark band: the price ends there 1 time in 2light band: 8 times in 10

The AI's call low confidence
Up or down?Slightly up

53 chances in 100 of ending higher in a month, according to the AI. Low confidence: in cases like this the AI is often wrong. Look mainly at the expected volatility. Real reliability: on years it never saw, the AI got the direction right 56 times in 100 (always giving the same answer: 55).

How much can it move?±7% in a month8 times out of 10, between $594.75 and $710.95

Summary

For the coming month, the radar sees Mastercard slightly higher (low confidence: the AIs are often wrong in such cases). Central scenario: about $658.84. In 8 cases out of 10, the price should stay between $594.75 and $710.95. Probability of beating the S&P 500 over the same period: 46%.

Expected movement next month: about ±7%, up or down.

Confident call Next month, Mastercard should be clearly calmer than in recent weeks (about 15% less). When the AI is this clear-cut, it was right 81 times out of 100 on years it had never seen.

Mastercard: volatility over one year and forecast for next month
Forecast 25%Now 29%Its normal 22%

Volatility over the last 20 sessionsAI forecast (next month)Its one-year normal

The AI's past calls on this asset

2 calls recorded, being checked (20 sessions). All checked calls

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Key indicators

RSI (14)64
ADX (trend strength)41
Expected move over the next 5 sessions±3.2%
3-month performance+16.1%
Annualised volatility+29%
Risk levelMedium

Levels to watch

Resistance (1-year high)$672.68
50-day moving average$592.56
200-day moving average$537.36
Support (20-day low)$590.21
Indicative stop-loss$622.65

Reliability

Measured accuracy of the model on periods it never saw: 56% correct directions (naive baseline 55%). A forecast is a probability, never a promise.

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