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Lowe's (LOW): forecast and analysis

Updated automatically · prices as of 2026-11-08

$224.55last price
+19.7%over 1 month
66 / 100technical score (bullish)
6 in 10chance of being higher in 20 sessions
256,56 $227,27 $195,34 $↑ leaning up11/05/202606/11/2026

price over the last 6 monthsmost likely in 1 monthdark band: the price ends there 1 time in 2light band: 8 times in 10

The AI's call low confidence
Up or down?Slightly up

55 chances in 100 of ending higher in a month, according to the AI. Low confidence: in cases like this the AI is often wrong. Look mainly at the expected volatility. Real reliability: on years it never saw, the AI got the direction right 56 times in 100 (always giving the same answer: 55).

How much can it move?±8% in a month8 times out of 10, between $195.34 and $256.56

Summary

For the coming month, the radar sees Lowe's slightly higher (low confidence: the AIs are often wrong in such cases). Central scenario: about $227.27. In 8 cases out of 10, the price should stay between $195.34 and $256.56. Probability of beating the S&P 500 over the same period: 50%.

Expected movement next month: about ±8%, up or down.

Very confident call Next month, Lowe's should be clearly calmer than in recent weeks (about 27% less). When the AI is this clear-cut, it was right 89 times out of 100 on years it had never seen.

Lowe's: volatility over one year and forecast for next month
Forecast 30%Now 40%Its normal 29%

Volatility over the last 20 sessionsAI forecast (next month)Its one-year normal

The AI's past calls on this asset

3 calls recorded, being checked (20 sessions). All checked calls

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Key indicators

RSI (14)69
ADX (trend strength)42
Expected move over the next 5 sessions±4.3%
3-month performance+3.2%
Annualised volatility+41%
Risk levelMedium

Levels to watch

Resistance (1-year high)$282.47
50-day moving average$196.24
200-day moving average$222.05
Support (20-day low)$182.74
Indicative stop-loss$211.97

Reliability

Measured accuracy of the model on periods it never saw: 56% correct directions (naive baseline 55%). A forecast is a probability, never a promise.

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