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Ethereum Classic (ETC-USD): forecast and analysis

Updated automatically · prices as of 2026-11-08

$6.84last price
-11.7%over 1 month
20 / 100technical score (strongly bearish)
5 in 10chance of being higher in 20 sessions
8,28 $6,78 $5,71 $↓ leaning down06/07/202608/11/2026

price over the last 6 monthsmost likely in 1 monthdark band: the price ends there 1 time in 2light band: 8 times in 10

The AI's call low confidence
Up or down?Slightly down

51 chances in 100 of ending lower in a month, according to the AI. Low confidence: in cases like this the AI is often wrong. Look mainly at the expected volatility. Real reliability: on years it never saw, the AI got the direction right 56 times in 100 (always giving the same answer: 55).

How much can it move?±14% in a month8 times out of 10, between $5.71 and $8.28

Summary

For the coming month, the radar sees Ethereum Classic slightly lower (low confidence: the AIs are often wrong in such cases). Central scenario: about $6.78. In 8 cases out of 10, the price should stay between $5.71 and $8.28. Probability of beating Bitcoin over the same period: 36%.

Expected movement next month: about ±14%, up or down.

Ethereum Classic: volatility over one year and forecast for next month
Forecast 51%Now 47%Its normal 45%

Volatility over the last 20 sessionsAI forecast (next month)Its one-year normal

The AI's past calls on this asset

1 call recorded, being checked (20 sessions). All checked calls

Open the interactive chart and simulator

Key indicators

RSI (14)37
ADX (trend strength)36
Expected move over the next 5 sessions±6.7%
3-month performance-12.9%
Annualised volatility+46%
Risk levelHigh

Levels to watch

Resistance (1-year high)$9.96
50-day moving average$8.12
200-day moving average$7.71
Support (20-day low)$6.80
Indicative stop-loss$6.20

Reliability

Measured accuracy of the model on periods it never saw: 56% correct directions (naive baseline 55%). A forecast is a probability, never a promise.

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