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EssilorLuxottica (EL.PA): forecast and analysis

Updated automatically · prices as of 2026-11-08

€193.80last price
+35.5%over 1 month
61 / 100technical score (bullish)
5 in 10chance of being higher in 20 sessions
220,72 €194,93 €168,63 €↑ leaning up15/05/202606/11/2026

price over the last 6 monthsmost likely in 1 monthdark band: the price ends there 1 time in 2light band: 8 times in 10

The AI's call low confidence
Up or down?Slightly up

53 chances in 100 of ending higher in a month, according to the AI. Low confidence: in cases like this the AI is often wrong. Look mainly at the expected volatility. Real reliability: on years it never saw, the AI got the direction right 56 times in 100 (always giving the same answer: 55).

How much can it move?±9% in a month8 times out of 10, between €168.63 and €220.71

Summary

For the coming month, the radar sees EssilorLuxottica slightly higher (low confidence: the AIs are often wrong in such cases). Central scenario: about €194.93. In 8 cases out of 10, the price should stay between €168.63 and €220.71. Probability of beating the CAC 40 over the same period: 51%.

Expected movement next month: about ±9%, up or down.

Very confident call Next month, EssilorLuxottica should be clearly calmer than in recent weeks (about 45% less). When the AI is this clear-cut, it was right 88 times out of 100 on years it had never seen.

EssilorLuxottica: volatility over one year and forecast for next month
Forecast 33%Now 58%Its normal 30%

Volatility over the last 20 sessionsAI forecast (next month)Its one-year normal

The AI's past calls on this asset

3 calls recorded, being checked (20 sessions). All checked calls

Open the interactive chart and simulator

Key indicators

RSI (14)75
ADX (trend strength)48
Expected move over the next 5 sessions±4.6%
3-month performance+12.8%
Annualised volatility+61%
Risk levelHigh

Levels to watch

Resistance (1-year high)€313.30
50-day moving average€156.71
200-day moving average€180.40
Support (20-day low)€144.20
Indicative stop-loss€181.59

Reliability

Measured accuracy of the model on periods it never saw: 56% correct directions (naive baseline 55%). A forecast is a probability, never a promise.

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