Polkadot (DOT-USD): forecast and analysis
Updated automatically · prices as of 2026-11-08
price over the last 6 monthsmost likely in 1 monthdark band: the price ends there 1 time in 2light band: 8 times in 10
53 chances in 100 of ending lower in a month, according to the AI. Low confidence: in cases like this the AI is often wrong. Look mainly at the expected volatility. Real reliability: on years it never saw, the AI got the direction right 56 times in 100 (always giving the same answer: 55).
Summary
For the coming month, the radar sees Polkadot slightly lower (low confidence: the AIs are often wrong in such cases). Central scenario: about $0.8782. In 8 cases out of 10, the price should stay between $0.6988 and $1.09. Probability of beating Bitcoin over the same period: 36%.
Expected movement next month: about ±18%, up or down.
Confident call Next month, Polkadot should be clearly more agitated than in recent weeks (about 27% more). When the AI is this clear-cut, it was right 78 times out of 100 on years it had never seen.
Volatility over the last 20 sessionsAI forecast (next month)Its one-year normal
The AI's past calls on this asset
3 calls recorded, being checked (20 sessions). All checked calls
Open the interactive chart and simulator
Key indicators
| RSI (14) | 33 |
| ADX (trend strength) | 24 |
| Expected move over the next 5 sessions | ±7.5% |
| 3-month performance | -8.8% |
| Annualised volatility | +51% |
| Risk level | High |
Levels to watch
| Resistance (1-year high) | $1.64 |
| 50-day moving average | $1.10 |
| 200-day moving average | $1.02 |
| Support (20-day low) | $0.8812 |
| Indicative stop-loss | $0.7769 |
Reliability
Measured accuracy of the model on periods it never saw: 56% correct directions (naive baseline 55%). A forecast is a probability, never a promise.