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BHP (BHP): forecast and analysis

Updated automatically · prices as of 2026-11-08

$79.89last price
-5.8%over 1 month
38 / 100technical score (bearish)
6 in 10chance of being higher in 20 sessions
90,24 $81,26 $71,79 $↑ leaning up11/05/202606/11/2026

price over the last 6 monthsmost likely in 1 monthdark band: the price ends there 1 time in 2light band: 8 times in 10

The AI's call low confidence
Up or down?Slightly up

58 chances in 100 of ending higher in a month, according to the AI. Low confidence: in cases like this the AI is often wrong. Look mainly at the expected volatility. Real reliability: on years it never saw, the AI got the direction right 56 times in 100 (always giving the same answer: 55).

How much can it move?±9% in a month8 times out of 10, between $71.79 and $90.24

Summary

For the coming month, the radar sees BHP slightly higher (low confidence: the AIs are often wrong in such cases). Central scenario: about $81.26. In 8 cases out of 10, the price should stay between $71.79 and $90.24. Probability of beating world stocks outside the US over the same period: 52%.

Expected movement next month: about ±9%, up or down.

BHP: volatility over one year and forecast for next month
Forecast 32%Now 32%Its normal 34%

Volatility over the last 20 sessionsAI forecast (next month)Its one-year normal

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Key indicators

RSI (14)44
ADX (trend strength)14
Expected move over the next 5 sessions±3.7%
3-month performance-9.9%
Annualised volatility+32%
Risk levelMedium

Levels to watch

Resistance (1-year high)$96.58
50-day moving average$84.85
200-day moving average$80.27
Support (20-day low)$76.97
Indicative stop-loss$75.27

Reliability

Measured accuracy of the model on periods it never saw: 56% correct directions (naive baseline 55%). A forecast is a probability, never a promise.

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