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AMD (AMD): forecast and analysis

Updated automatically · prices as of 2026-11-08

$449.04last price
-27.7%over 1 month
44 / 100technical score (neutral)
6 in 10chance of being higher in 20 sessions
550,22 $453,04 $344,84 $↑ leaning up11/05/202606/11/2026

price over the last 6 monthsmost likely in 1 monthdark band: the price ends there 1 time in 2light band: 8 times in 10

The AI's call low confidence
Up or down?Slightly up

51 chances in 100 of ending higher in a month, according to the AI. Low confidence: in cases like this the AI is often wrong. Look mainly at the expected volatility. Real reliability: on years it never saw, the AI got the direction right 56 times in 100 (always giving the same answer: 55).

How much can it move?±21% in a month8 times out of 10, between $344.84 and $550.22

Summary

For the coming month, the radar sees AMD slightly higher (low confidence: the AIs are often wrong in such cases). Central scenario: about $453.04. In 8 cases out of 10, the price should stay between $344.84 and $550.22. Probability of beating the S&P 500 over the same period: 46%.

Expected movement next month: about ±21%, up or down.

Very confident call Next month, AMD should be clearly calmer than in recent weeks (about 27% less). When the AI is this clear-cut, it was right 89 times out of 100 on years it had never seen.

AMD: volatility over one year and forecast for next month
Forecast 75%Now 106%Its normal 62%

Volatility over the last 20 sessionsAI forecast (next month)Its one-year normal

The AI's past calls on this asset

3 calls recorded, being checked (20 sessions). All checked calls

Open the interactive chart and simulator

Key indicators

RSI (14)38
ADX (trend strength)25
Expected move over the next 5 sessions±9.5%
3-month performance-4.4%
Annualised volatility+102%
Risk levelVery high

Levels to watch

Resistance (1-year high)$649.42
50-day moving average$546.81
200-day moving average$415.98
Support (20-day low)$402.10
Indicative stop-loss$375.82

Reliability

Measured accuracy of the model on periods it never saw: 56% correct directions (naive baseline 55%). A forecast is a probability, never a promise.

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