Guides · Stocks, ETFs and markets
Can you beat the market?
In short: It is hard: over long periods, most professionally managed funds do worse than their index after fees. The radar's AIs do a little better than chance (about 53.5% correct vs 50.7%), which is real but modest.
What studies say
Studies comparing active funds with their indices show a large majority underperform over 10 or 15 years, largely because of fees.
The radar's test
On hundreds of thousands of cases in years never seen, the AIs predict slightly better than chance which stocks will beat their index the next month. That small edge can quickly vanish with fees.
Public tracking
Every month the radar publishes its pick of 10 stocks and the real result against the indices.